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Greece’s virus recovery forecasts are over-optimistic

Location:

GREECE

The authorities are gradually lifting pandemic-induced restrictions. The need to protect public health has given way to preserving the productive capacity so painfully built up…

Pandemic will force economic policy reversal in Brazil

Location:

BRAZIL

The crisis induced by the COVID-19 epidemic and social distancing measures to contain it will leave deep scars on the Brazilian economy. Still struggling to recover the ground…

Vaccine delays will hold back Thai tourism revival

Location:

THAILAND

In 2019, travel and tourism contributed nearly 20% of GDP, directly and indirectly, but visitor numbers in 2020 fell by more than 80%. The authorities are trying to control a…

The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

US COVID-19 local budget squeeze will intensify

Location:

UNITED STATES

States' revenues have fallen sharply while mandatory spending has surged; one projection sees their combined budgetary shortfall amounting to USD615bn over the next three years…

COVID-19 threatens Belgium’s future unity

Location:

BELGIUM

Tensions between Belgium's regions.

Inadequate policies will deepen Mexico COVID-19 blow

Location:

MEXICO

A lack of testing may have led to an underestimation of infections, but with a population of 130 million, Mexico appears relatively unscathed by the pandemic so far. The virus…

Third COVID wave calls for caution from Erdogan

Location:

TURKEY

Throughout April, new cases have exceeded 40,000 per day. The surge, which followed the easing of containment measures in March, was the third and largest spike in COVID-19 cases…

Recovery will be slow after Peru's sharp contraction

Location:

PERU

A second wave of the pandemic is currently under way and will prolong these impacts, delaying recovery this year. The slow roll-out of available vaccines will further extend the…

Primaries will launch tense Argentine electoral cycle

Location:

ARGENTINA

The primaries, pushed back from this month to September 12, will generate few surprises but offer an opportunity to gauge the relative support of each coalition ahead of the…