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Euro depreciation will boost euro-area external trade

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EURO-AREA

They should confirm that the recovery is on track, with a growth rate similar to that seen in the first quarter. The demand breakdown, due for release on September 4, will allow…

More protectionism leads to less macroeconomic output

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INTERNATIONAL

The US administration has withdrawn from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), threatened punitive tariffs against several trading partners and started renegotiating the North…

BRICS trade strategies might be headed for a shift

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INTERNATIONAL

Prospects for a change the BRICS' trade strategies.

Hungarian forint is increasingly vulnerable to attack

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Central banks’ policy dilemmas.

Prospects for the global economy to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for the global economy to end-2019.

China’s exports will recover but trade sanctions loom

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CHINA

Chinese exports grew by 7.1% year-on-year in US dollar terms, while imports expanded by 3.5%. The trade gap narrowed to USD39.7bn in February. Export growth was buoyed by rapid…

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

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RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Russian recession will blunt Central Asian growth

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CIS

Russia's economic problems caused by the low price of oil and to a lesser extent Western sanctions are a challenge for Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian states. In its…

China turmoil augurs badly for global markets

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INTERNATIONAL

China's financial turmoil and its impact on global markets.

Turkmen economy shows increasing signs of strain

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TURKMENISTAN

Economic problems in Turkmenistan.