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Russia will promote grain sales while limiting imports

Location:

RUSSIA

Russian food production and export prospects.

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

Location:

RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Russian recession will blunt Central Asian growth

Location:

CIS

Russia's economic problems caused by the low price of oil and to a lesser extent Western sanctions are a challenge for Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian states. In its…

Tajik and Kyrgyz economies show unexpected strength

Location:

TAJIKISTAN/KYRGYZSTAN

Both have avoided the deep economic crisis that seemed likely in the spring. Income from remittances, on which both rely heavily, has recovered after a dip following the invasion.

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for Russian domestic politics and foreign policy to end-2016.

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

Location:

RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2023.

Moscow can afford the war in Ukraine

Location:

RUSSIA

Hopes that sanctions and a sclerotic economy will hinder Russia’s war effort are likely to prove misplaced. Careful management of the budget and healthy oil revenues mean that the…

Russia’s budget deficit may exceed official target

Location:

RUSSIA

The federal budget deficit target for 2023, set at RUB2.9tn (USD35.8bn), is likely to be exceeded for the second year in a row. Federal expenditure is showing no signs of slowing…