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Shared aims could trump Turkey-Iran tensions in Iraq

Location:

IRAN/TURKEY

Abadi is walking a difficult line between Turkish and Iranian allies, who fear each other’s intentions in Iraq. These tensions are focused on the post-Mosul era, which opens the…

Russia may undermine East European liberal democracy

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Although Russian influence abroad has become a global concern in light of the US election hacking scandal, Central-Eastern Europe (CEE), which Moscow has traditionally seen as a…

Internal contradictions will dog Bulgarian coalition

Location:

BULGARIA

Claiming that 30-40% of advance payments for the much-delayed Hemus motorway had been transferred to the Citizens for Bulgaria’s European Development (GERB) party, Rashkov refused…

Politics trump business in Venezuela oil outlook

Location:

VENEZUELA

The impact of low oil prices, which have prompted a fall of more than 60% in the government's income, has been exacerbated by falling production. This raises questions about the…

Russia will expand Middle East security and trade role

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The previous day, the Pentagon said that Moscow was trying to influence events in Libya. Since intervening in Syria in September 2015, President Vladimir Putin has established…

The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

Location:

CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

Turkey's foreign policy will increase its isolation

Location:

TURKEY

However, it has sometimes combined a very confrontational public relationship, including public attacks on an international institution, with a much more cooperative private…

Military’s influence will grow in Pakistan

Location:

PAKISTAN

A caretaker cabinet is responsible for running the country until the polls. Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar, the caretaker prime minister, previously belonged to a party that is widely…

Russia will consolidate strong ties in the Gulf

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia seeks to enhance its cooperation with the Gulf Arab states to offset its diplomatic and economic isolation from the West, leveraging its status as a valued security partner…