Search results

Gap between France’s Macron and Le Pen is narrowing

Location:

FRANCE

Nevertheless, Le Pen remains the most serious threat to President Emmanuel Macron's hopes for re-election in 2022. She stands above him in some national polls, reflecting her…

Austria will be slow to change neutrality stance

Location:

AUSTRIA

Such investment will be spread across key areas including aviation, cyber and ground warfare. Increased defence spending does not point to changes on Austria's policy of…

Prospects for the United Kingdom in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for the United Kingdom in 2018.

Referendum 'no' vote could trigger crisis in Italy

Location:

ITALY

Renzi's government will fight two existential battles in the coming weeks: winning the constitutional reform referendum on December 4, and obtaining from the Commission the…

Balkan civic protests are not going away

Location:

BALKANS

The new wave of agitation against government misbehaviour across the Balkans.

Next UK government will have limited fiscal space

Location:

UK

The party has been cautious regarding its economic plans, reflecting the difficult fiscal situation it will encounter should it win in July. Low growth and rising debt mean that…

Progress on transatlantic trade relations will be slow

Location:

US/EU

It represents a strong message to Europeans that a return to transatlantic trade pre-2016 is not on the horizon, and instead US trade policy will be driven by the need to protect…

Macron faces political risks over French fiscal woes

Location:

FRANCE

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

France’s Macron seeks to refocus domestic agenda

Location:

FRANCE

Macron lacks a parliamentary majority and the political atmosphere is acrimonious following the passage of controversial pension reforms. Rebooting the government might create the…