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South African government faces public-sector showdown

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The negotiations follow the government’s refusal last year to pay the final annual tranche of a previous three-year deal. Containing the public-sector wage bill is seen as key for…

Oman can manage domestic political dissent for now

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OMAN

Prospects for political dissent in Oman.

Temer would seek orthodox policy turn in Brazil

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BRAZIL

The impeachment process will now be sent to the Senate. If a majority of the 81 senators accept its continuation, Rousseff will be suspended initially for 180 days while the…

Ryan speakership is unlikely to unify US Republicans

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UNITED STATES

Ryan's predecessor, John Boehner, was driven to resign by hardliner members of the House Republican Conference. Party disunity during the Boehner speakership led to legislative…

New Uruguay government's COVID-19 boost will not last

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URUGUAY

The contraction preceded the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak. The large inherited fiscal deficit and rising debt-to-GDP ratio are forcing the new government to take unpopular…

Prospects for Colombia to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Colombia to end-2021.

Prospects for South Africa in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Yet market sentiment remains sceptical of Pretoria’s ability to deliver on the package, implement steep and politically contentious expenditure cuts and boost growth. Meanwhile, a…

Frente Amplio will struggle to reach run-off in Chile

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CHILE

On July 2, the Frente Amplio (FA), a new left-wing alliance, held a primary election to select its presidential candidate. Building on FA’s participation in last year’s municipal…

COVID-19 will likely soften labour agenda in Spain

Location:

SPAIN

Despite the pledge, however, the government is divided over the issue, with some in support of outright repeal of the reforms while others are opposed. Trying to balance these…

Earthquakes will hit Mexico’s 2018 election

Location:

MEXICO

Two major earthquakes hit southern and central Mexico on September 7 and 19, killing at least 340 people and damaging thousands of buildings. The disaster has sparked a public…