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Ukrainian public will expect war to end in victory

Location:

UKRAINE

The Russian invasion has changed the lives of millions of Ukrainians, forcing many to seek refuge abroad or move to a safer place within the country. However, the war has pushed…

Far-right influence to grow in Romania and Bulgaria

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ROMANIA/BULGARIA

The far right is making gains in Romania and its neighbour Bulgaria. The rise of AUR and Bulgaria’s populist pro-Russian Revival (Vazrazhdane) party will bolster other extremist…

Germany’s NSS highlights divisions over strategy

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GERMANY

The NSS provides a comprehensive analysis of German security interests following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but fails to develop a clear roadmap for German security policy…

Erdogan provocation scores at home but not with Athens

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GREECE/TURKEY

The two nations have maintained a correct but tense relationship for nearly a century, only narrowly avoiding hostilities following the Turkish invasion of Cyprus in 1974 and…

German government will push for EU reforms

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GERMANY

Baerbock used the occasion to push publicly for ambitious EU reform proposals on issues such as qualified majority voting (QMV) and making representation in the European…

Spain will pursue a ‘progressive’ policy agenda

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SPAIN

The government’s headline policy promises are to be financed by higher taxes and EU funds, while observing the EU's excessive deficit limit. The government’s most contentious and…

War crimes trials will add to Bosnian Serb instability

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BOSNIA

Ethnic and political tensions will rise after ICTY acquitted the radical Serb nationalist Seselj and convicted Bosnian Serb wartime leader Radovan Karadzic, with…

Prospects for the Gulf states in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the Gulf states in 2017.

US rhetoric masks absence of fresh North Korea policy

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NORTH KOREA/US

South Korea’s unification minister (MOU) warned on April 10 that any US strike on North Korea would put “the safety of the public” at risk. A day later, Seoul’s defence (MND) and…

Russia issue will complicate Indonesia’s G20 plans

Location:

INDONESIA

The G20, under Indonesia’s presidency this year, is divided on whether Russia should be expelled from the group over its invasion of Ukraine. Russia’s ambassador to Indonesia said…