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Prospects for Western Europe in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Western Europe in 2019.

Draghi's government promises some hope for Italy

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ITALY

Except for the far-right Brothers of Italy (FdI), all the main parties are part of the government, thus giving Draghi significant political support as he prepares to tackle…

Catalonia is the main risk for Spain’s new government

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SPAIN

Sanchez will now have to do something which he desperately sought to avoid: rely on Catalan support to survive in government.

Political value of social media will rise in Africa

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AFRICA

Relatively low internet penetration rates (an average of 40% across the continent) and stark differences in digital access within and across states mask social media’s increasing…

Fight is on to keep Romanian politicians accountable

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ROMANIA

Social Democratic Party (PSD) leader Liviu Dragnea’s response that the protests are part of an attempted coup suggests he will not compromise. Within the new ruling coalition…

Latvia’s unwieldy new government will be reform-averse

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LATVIA

Latvia’s second female prime minister leads an ideologically diverse coalition led by her centrist New Unity (JV) party, and including the left-wing Progressives (PRO) and the…

Czech premier’s support will back him against protests

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CZECH REPUBLIC

Widespread concern over the state of Czech democracy has been fuelled by European Commission auditors’ reports pointing to possible conflicts of interest between Babis’s official…

PiS cannot count on winning Polish elections outright

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POLAND

The October 13 parliamentary election will be one of the most important and consequential since 1989. If PiS wins, it will entrench and continue pushing ahead with its radical…

Polish government disunity may hamper Ukraine response

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POLAND

The war in Ukraine could have increased support for the United Right (ZP) coalition, but so far this has remained static. Poles have enthusiastically welcomed the opening of the…

Slovak government is weighing up early elections

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SLOVAKIA

SaS’s departure from government could trigger early elections and bring to power a new government with a less firmly pro-Western orientation that might substantially change…