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Finland election likely to see centre-left government

Location:

FINLAND

Finland looks set to be the next euro-area country to see the ousting of a government made unpopular by austerity and low growth, in favour of an opposition force. However, the…

Slovak-Hungarian entente will not affect Western unity

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SLOVAKIA

The programme includes halting official military aid to Ukraine, as incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico promised during the election campaign. Recent elections in Central Europe…

Germany’s defence shift will face immediate obstacles

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GERMANY

The changes, which shocked Scholz's coalition partners, promise a major shift in Germany's strategic posture, with more military capability and a stress on building Europe's hard…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

Ukrainian refugees will stretch eastern EU’s welcome

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EASTERN EU

The war in Ukraine is uniting Central-East European (CEE) populations in support of Ukrainians and against ties with the Putin government. However, it is muddying attitudes to…

Ukraine invasion will raise Estonian premier’s support

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ESTONIA

For Estonians, the war in Ukraine has awakened traumatic memories of Soviet invasion during the Second World War and generates great sympathy for Ukraine and anger at Russia, as…

Russia meddling Ukraine-style in Baltics is unlikely

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BALTICS

Survey evidence on Baltic Russophones’ attitudes to the EU and NATO.

Latvia’s new three-party coalition will probably last

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LATVIA

The October 1 parliamentary election gave Krisjanis Karins, Latvia’s first prime minister to serve a full four-year term, a clear mandate to form a government. His New Unity (JV…

Swedish policies will be influenced by far-right party

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SWEDEN

SD, previously a pariah, increased its vote share to 20.5%, from 17.5% in 2018. It is the largest rightist party in a bloc that has a three-seat majority. The centre-right parties…

Prospects for US politics in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…