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Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019.

Differing demographic trends create chances and tests

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INTERNATIONAL

Global demographic trends and implications.

Turkey must reform structurally to meet fiscal targets

Location:

TURKEY

The draft foresees a central administration budget deficit of 80.6 billion lira (14.3 billion dollars) or 1.8% of GDP. Maintaining fiscal discipline would bolster international…

EU’s green agenda will expose large divergences

Location:

EUROPE

The extent of their preparedness reflects a combination of willingness and ability. Willingness is evident in government policy and in the public's environmental consciousness and…

Equatorial Guinea’s Obiang will further stifle dissent

Location:

EQUATORIAL GUINEA

While there is scepticism over the government’s figures, officially recorded deaths are low at 51. However, all sectors of the economy have been negatively impacted -- most…

COVID-19 will shift Macron’s policy focus in France

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FRANCE

Macron's support.

Draghi's government promises some hope for Italy

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ITALY

Except for the far-right Brothers of Italy (FdI), all the main parties are part of the government, thus giving Draghi significant political support as he prepares to tackle…

Russian regions are to halve deficits this year

Location:

RUSSIA

Last year, these transfers hit a record level, as Moscow issued extra money to help regions cope with the COVID-19 pandemic, but this was still not enough to cover all their…

Finland will shift to the right following election

Location:

FINLAND

Marin’s Social Democrats (SDP) finished in third place behind the right-wing populist Finns Party. The change in government coincides with a transforming geopolitical and security…