Equatorial Guinea’s Obiang will further stifle dissent

Significance

While there is scepticism over the government’s figures, officially recorded deaths are low at 51. However, all sectors of the economy have been negatively impacted -- most notably the pivotal oil and gas sector. While President Teodoro Obiang’s government has pinpointed reforms to help the economy climb out of recession, political openings may be further restricted.

Impacts

• The 78-year-old president is unlikely to hand over power before the 2023 polls.
• The government will seek closer relations with China for capital financing.
• Growing economic hardship could drive a rise in offshore piracy.
• The decision to halt construction of a border wall will ease tensions with neighbouring Cameroon.