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War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

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EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…

North Yemen partners will hold their alliance together

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YEMEN

This followed rumours that Saleh was under house arrest and his supporters were fleeing, after clashes with the Huthis resulted in the death of a pro-Saleh army officer. The…

War of attrition in Ukraine is unlikely to end soon

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UKRAINE

After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

India’s role in regional maritime security will grow

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INDIA

Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

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EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

Ukraine war will erode its Visegrad neighbours’ unity

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EASTERN EUROPE

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

Germany’s NSS highlights divisions over strategy

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GERMANY

The NSS provides a comprehensive analysis of German security interests following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but fails to develop a clear roadmap for German security policy…

Ukraine crisis will muddy eastern EU energy transition

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EU

Higher energy prices and, as war rages in Ukraine, the politicisation of sources of supply are highlighting weaknesses, and some strengths, in the energy systems of the eleven…

Greater integration of armed forces is key Indian goal

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INDIA

This is despite India’s commitment to upgrading its military hardware and reorganising its armed forces. These tasks have become an even more urgent priority for India since early…