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Election will raise institutional frictions in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Lula and President Jair Bolsonaro continue to lead polls ahead of the October general elections. Lula has been leading for months but his advantage over Bolsonaro is narrowing…

Bitter divisions point to uncertain Brazil elections

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BRAZIL

Lula, who faces a twelve-year sentence for corruption, maintains his innocence will be proved. However, it is now all but impossible for the historical leader of the Workers’…

Brazil's Rousseff faces bleak second-term panorama

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BRAZIL

Only a month into her second term, President Dilma Rousseff faces an increasingly complicated panorama. In addition to fallout from corruption investigations into state-controlled…

Brazil health minister's ouster may boost instability

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BRAZIL

Mandetta had spent the last weeks involved in an increasingly acrimonious confrontation with Bolsonaro over his approach to the COVID-19 crisis. While Mandetta has largely sought…

Brazil social media legal vacuum poses controversies

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BRAZIL

Lira’s announcement came as parliamentarians and government members insisted on rekindling efforts to pass legislation -- known as the “Fake News bill” -- following a clash…

Corruption pressure will build on Panama’s Varela

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PANAMA

Panama corruption allegations.

Return to war is a real possibility in Colombia

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COLOMBIA

The 50.2% of voters who rejected the agreement may prove sufficient to force the FARC back to war.

Prospects for Brazil to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite these positive signals, governance and effective policy-making could prove challenging in other areas.

Americanas raises corporate debt concerns in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Unforeseen losses of BRL43bn (USD8.2bn) discovered in its balance sheet in early January prompted a sharp fall in the company's share price. Uncertainty regarding the undeclared…

Clashes among federal powers will intensify in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Bolsonaro has been increasing his attacks on senators leading a Senate-led inquiry into his administration’s handling of COVID-19 and on members of the Supreme Court and the TSE…