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China will exploit COVID-19 as diplomatic opportunity

Location:

CHINA

Chinese overseas aid in the COVID-19 pandemic.

Egyptian-Turkish relations will be antagonistic

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EGYPT/TURKEY

The recent focus of their rivalry has been on their competing maritime claims in the eastern Mediterranean and their support for opposing sides in the Libyan civil war. Underlying…

Security crisis will drive up emigration from Ecuador

Location:

ECUADOR

The emigration trend nevertheless stretches back long before the pandemic, reflecting poverty and increasing pessimism about the country’s future. The United States remains the…

Border will strain US-Mexican ties as elections near

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US/MEXICO

The meeting, held on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, followed discussion of the same issues by numerous government officials at the bilateral…

External factors may trigger more Mexican rate hikes

Location:

MEXICO

The hike was double the 25 bp expected by most economists and took place without any similar move from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), increasing the gap between the respective…

Prospects for Pakistan in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Pakistan in 2019.

Prospects for Latin America in the third quarter

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PROSPECTS Q3 2015

Prospects for Latin America in the third quarter.

Misusing historical analogies limits US policy options

Location:

US

The Vietnam analogy implies that President Joe Biden’s decision to leave Afghanistan will have deeply negative consequences for the United States. However, Afghanistan is not…

Russian military power will be tested in Syria gamble

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RUSSIA

Recent days have seen dangerous and uncoordinated Russian action with violations of Turkish airspace as well as missile strikes directed from the Caspian Sea.

US brand still strong but needs to show effectiveness

Location:

UNITED STATES

Recent events have complicated the military and diplomatic elements of this task, but the wider 'Brand America' which Biden wants to restore -- one that shows democratic…