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Constituent assembly plan compounds Venezuela crisis

Location:

VENEZUELA

In response to anti-government demonstrations, President Nicolas Maduro on May 1 unveiled plans to convene a national constituent assembly to advance state reforms and a national…

Brexit will bring instability to Northern Ireland

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UK/IRELAND

The collapse of Northern Ireland's power-sharing executive on January 16, coupled with the prospect of a policed border after Brexit (for the first time since 2005), removes two…

Mozambique and Frelimo face major internal tensions

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MOZAMBIQUE

Opposition and civil society actors fear this will also create a window for Frelimo to change the constitution, certainly to subvert the district elections, and possibly to set up…

Libya unity government will probably prolong its term

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LIBYA

The Government of National Accord in Tripoli had handed over power on March 16. The ceremony means Libya now has its first unified government since 2014. The new government has a…

Prospects for Ukraine in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

None is easily resolvable and President Volodymyr Zelensky's administration is not faring well. More than a year after Zelensky’s double election wins, it is increasingly apparent…

Much could upset deal on Bosnian state government

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BOSNIA

Under pressure from the US and EU ambassadors, Bosnia's leaders have reached agreement to form a state government. The breakthrough has provided a badly needed respite from…

AKP will resume policy of strong Turkish presidency

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TURKEY

The victory has reversed the result of the June elections that produced a 'hung' parliament. AKP has relegated other parties to the sidelines and Erdogan may now press ahead with…

Duterte eyes bold Philippines policy agenda

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PHILIPPINES

On May 12, Duterte's transition team released an eight-point economic plan, following a bravado-fuelled election campaign that was light on policy content and unnerved investors…

Weaker AKP would reduce Turkish president's authority

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TURKEY

The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) should easily get the most votes, but it faces a likely setback and a dent in its authority. Weakening support from its voters and…

Egypt’s constitutional changes to tighten Sisi’s grip

Location:

EGYPT

Lawmakers on February 14 provisionally approved those changes, which could keep President Abdel Fatah el-Sisi in power until 2034. Additional proposals include measures that would…