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Ukraine invasion threatens oil trade amid volatility

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INTERNATIONAL

Neither Moscow nor the countries which have imposed sanctions on it wish to damage energy trade, but some disruption to Russian oil product flows is likely. The oil market is…

Russia will consolidate strong ties in the Gulf

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RUSSIA

Russia seeks to enhance its cooperation with the Gulf Arab states to offset its diplomatic and economic isolation from the West, leveraging its status as a valued security partner…

China will focus on Middle East energy, not politics

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MIDDLE EAST/CHINA

A significant proportion of imports come from the Middle East, where security-driven supply risks -- and Saudi Arabia’s production restraint -- are also helping to drive up oil…

Prospects for security and defence in 2016

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PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for security and defence in 2016.

Middle East and North Africa wheat supply challenges

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MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

The war in Ukraine threatens supply of important commodities to the Middle East and North Africa. The region is highly reliant on Russia and Ukraine for wheat and barley, with…

Russian harvest will be close to a record high

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RUSSIA

A strong grain and vegetable harvest, and increased animal husbandry production, means that Russia remains a key player in international food markets. During the first nine months…

Saudi Arabia's foreign policy will avoid controversy

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SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi Arabia will use the summit to underline its regional leadership, with a foreign policy posture that has been increasingly less confrontational since 2020. This reflects the…

Emirati foreign policy will draw strong criticism

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The conflict has created tensions between the UAE’s leaders and Arab public opinion. Over the longer term, the country’s assertive foreign policy has also drawn criticism from its…

Growing ‘mercenary’ use will sustain Mideast conflicts

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MIDDLE EAST

From US contractors in Iraq and Russian mercenary groups in Syria, to Gulf states’ ‘foreign legions’ in Yemen and multiple Iranian proxy militias, national armies no longer…