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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 January 2018
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Aid cuts would hit US influence

On January 18, a Gallup study found that global approval of US leadership had fallen to 30%, a record low, down from 48% in 2016 and 1 percentage point behind China; Germany has…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 October 2022

The demand might seem a populist substitution by the United Right (ZP) coalition government, because Warsaw’s rule-of-law argument with the EU denies Poland COVID-19 recovery and…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 February 2024

Fidesz has suffered three high-profile political casualties following the presidential pardon for Endre Konya, who tried to cover up for a child abuser: President Katalin Novak…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 January 2024

Most of Russia’s hydrocarbon export revenues are generated from oil now that gas sales have collapsed. Ambitious state spending plans are based on oil revenues rising this year…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for South Africa to end-2023

The adverse conditions that drove the rand to record lows in the second quarter of 2023 will likely persist through the remainder of the year, despite 0.4% growth in the first…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 January 2020

Italian political outlook.

Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 September 2019

The October 13 parliamentary election will be one of the most important and consequential since 1989. If PiS wins, it will entrench and continue pushing ahead with its radical…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 November 2020

However, Macau’s economy has become ever more dependent on gambling, and governance has become no more inclusive or consultative. Even mainland China has outpaced Macau in its use…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 January 2021

At the beginning of 2021, the ZP coalition of the Law and Justice (PiS), Accord and United Poland (SP) parties is stable, but not as strong as it has been in previous years. This…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 January 2016

Russia's new national security strategy

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