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Cypriot bank consolidation may help reduce bad loans

Location:

CYPRUS

The move raises Hellenic Bank’s market share and considerably improves its asset quality, and followed an announcement by market leader Bank of Cyprus on August 28 that it had…

Polls will heat up Polish claim for German reparations

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POLAND

The demand might seem a populist substitution by the United Right (ZP) coalition government, because Warsaw’s rule-of-law argument with the EU denies Poland COVID-19 recovery and…

Hungary’s Orban will probably survive Bicske scandal

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HUNGARY

Fidesz has suffered three high-profile political casualties following the presidential pardon for Endre Konya, who tried to cover up for a child abuser: President Katalin Novak…

Russian oil exports will be tested in future

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RUSSIA

Most of Russia’s hydrocarbon export revenues are generated from oil now that gas sales have collapsed. Ambitious state spending plans are based on oil revenues rising this year…

Turkey plans for competitive industries, lower imports

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TURKEY

Development plans define what constitutes mainstream social and economic policy in Ankara. This plan lays out the intentions of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and…

Italian stability hinges on M5S future and Salvini

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ITALY

Italian political outlook.

PiS cannot count on winning Polish elections outright

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POLAND

The October 13 parliamentary election will be one of the most important and consequential since 1989. If PiS wins, it will entrench and continue pushing ahead with its radical…

Survival of Italy’s government rests on Draghi choice

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ITALY

Plans to invest in key areas such as innovation, digitisation and climate change are already under way, as are plans to reform the pension system.

Opposition weakness will help Polish ruling coalition

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POLAND

At the beginning of 2021, the ZP coalition of the Law and Justice (PiS), Accord and United Poland (SP) parties is stable, but not as strong as it has been in previous years. This…

EU recovery fund will be vital for fiscal reform

Location:

EU

Reform is needed if hard-hit, highly indebted countries are to pursue pro-growth policies over the coming years. The extent of reform will depend on a number of factors…