Search results

Syria's ruler will seek to ride out economic protests

Location:

SYRIA

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

Turkey-US relationship will become more transactional

Location:

TURKEY/US

The Turkish government's crackdown on internal dissent, and its opposition to Kurdish groups at home and abroad have placed its NATO ally, the United States, in an awkward…

Yemen conflict carries risks for global shipping

Location:

YEMEN

Instability has worsened significantly in Yemen since the Huthi 'coup' against President Abd Rabbu Mansour Hadi in January. His government has been forced into exile; the Huthis…

Lebanese economy on course for muted recovery in 2015

Location:

LEBANON

According to its Global Economic Prospects report, the bank forecast a modest increase in GDP growth in 2015 to 2.0%, up from an estimated 1.5% in 2014. Since 2011, the economy…

Chad military action has not ended jihadist threat

Location:

CHAD

Security update

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018-22

Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22.

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

The Huthis will grow more emboldened within Yemen

Location:

YEMEN

These shifts were already underway before the airstrikes began in November 2023. Notably, factions within the Islamist Islah political party have publicly and privately expressed…

Gaza war will hike Israeli and Mideast gas risk

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The Israel-Hamas conflict that started on October 7 has had a direct impact on Israel’s gas supply. Following the Hamas attack, the Israeli government stopped production at the…