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Prioritising regime loyalty will weaken Turkish army

Location:

TURKEY

This is the third and largest mass trial since the failed coup, and part of the largest legal process in Turkey’s modern history. Although the process aims to purge supporters of…

Rivals will use tribes to destabilise Syria’s Raqqa

Location:

SYRIA

Some 80% of the city, which was the de facto capital of Islamic State (IS) until its capture by the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), was ruined in fighting and…

Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

Location:

BELARUS

Lukashenka has constructed a highly centralised and authoritarian system built on strong relations with Moscow. However, hopes for a more democratically inclined successor are…

Pressures within Nicaragua’s government will build

Location:

NICARAGUA

The move came a month after Nicaragua’s ambassador to the OAS, Arturo McFields, resigned, publicly condemning human rights abuses by his government. Nicaragua’s state lawyer at…

Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions may grow with time

Location:

NORTH KOREA

The goals of North Korea's nuclear programme.

Risk of North Korea war will grow if trends continue

Location:

NORTH KOREA

North Korea the same day pledged a “decisive act of justice” to avenge “a hundred thousand-fold” the “heinous crime” of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions approved unanimously…

Damascus can manage fragmented military forces

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SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad's two principal foreign backers, Russia and Iran, support and to some extent direct sizeable forces in Syria on which Assad relies. That contributes to a…

South-east Asian piracy threat is receding

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Risk of piracy attacks in South-east Asia.

Turkey's foreign policy will increase its isolation

Location:

TURKEY

However, it has sometimes combined a very confrontational public relationship, including public attacks on an international institution, with a much more cooperative private…

Pyongyang party plenum presages provocations

Location:

NORTH KOREA

North Korea-US relations.