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Libya's idiosyncratic history will slow peace progress

Location:

LIBYA

On April 25, Serraj asked Russia to help stop the conflict during a meeting with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov. Over a year since the UN-backed Government of…

Local elections may strain Tunisia's unity government

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TUNISIA

Military and security personnel voted early on April 29, with a turnout of 12%. There are concerns that widespread apathy, coupled with a desire among the Tunisian electorate with…

Devolution offers rewards in Egypt, but may be gradual

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EGYPT

The Local Administration Draft Law.

Crackdown may follow Tunisian referendum

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TUNISIA

Opposition parties and civil society dispute even this low turnout, alleging that ISIE inflated the numbers and calling for an investigation. President Kais Saied chose the ISIE…

Military power over Algeria's government may grow

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ALGERIA

These will be the third polls under President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. As for the two previous votes -- the November 2020 constitutional referendum and the June 2021 legislative…

Morocco Rif protests will not gain nationwide traction

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MOROCCO

Al Hoceima and the wider Rif region have witnessed demonstrations since October 2016, when a local fish seller was killed in a confrontation with local officials.

Female votes could be key in Iran’s presidential polls

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IRAN

As in previous polls, all of the female candidates are likely to be eliminated at this stage. However, women voters are an important constituency of support for incumbent…

Local ceasefires in Libya encourage unity agreement

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LIBYA

They will probably discuss the final draft of the peace agreement between the two main rival political blocs: the pro-Islamist Libya Dawn bloc led by the Tripoli-based General…

North-south divide will ease Syria rebel tensions

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SYRIA

Syria's beleaguered mainstream rebel movement suffered numerous territorial losses in 2014 at the hands of Islamic State group (ISG) and the regime. Partly in response to these…

Rivals will use tribes to destabilise Syria’s Raqqa

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SYRIA

Some 80% of the city, which was the de facto capital of Islamic State (IS) until its capture by the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), was ruined in fighting and…