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Investment will be a drag on Russian recovery

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia's enduring investment gap.

Russia's fiscal planners favour stability over growth

Location:

RUSSIA

Spending will be cut by nearly 2% this year to keep the budget in a slight surplus. Russian policymakers face a now familiar trade-off between their desire for fiscal rectitude…

UK government has space for fiscal loosening

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The UK economy is not as directly exposed to the conflict as other European countries, but economic weakness in the EU will have knock-on effects for the United Kingdom. The…

Political priorities mar Angolan diversification goals

Location:

ANGOLA

The dos Santos administration ostensibly prioritises developing non-oil industries to increase macroeconomic resilience. Initiatives to date have been insubstantial, ineffective…

Impact of war risks EU divisions in several areas

Location:

EU

This has been manifested across a number of policy areas including sanctions, immigration and the export of arms. However, maintaining such unity will become more challenging as…

Turkey-Europe economic and business ties will weaken

Location:

TURKEY

That represented a 1.9-percentage-point (pp) rise in import share and a 0.4-pp fall in export share. Turkey's economic and commercial ties with Europe (EU and non-EU) are strong…

Russian oil supply cut would hit Central Europe hard

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Flows resumed within days, but the sudden cut-off -- ascribed to overdue transit payments -- highlights Central Europe’s dependence on Russian oil imports and the difficulty of…

UK premier’s net zero gambit is unlikely to bear fruit

Location:

UK

The main announcements included slowing the transition away from home heating systems and cars which run on fossil fuels. The first poll since the announcements shows an increase…

Bangladesh government will shrug off criticism

Location:

BANGLADESH

Critics say the move weakens the Bangladesh Election Commission (EC). The next general election will likely take place in January. The ruling Awami League (AL) continues to reject…

Further devaluation of Nigeria’s naira is likely

Location:

NIGERIA

This is the second devaluation of the naira in less than six months on the official foreign exchange (forex) market. The CBN has previously staved off a devaluation despite the…