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Turkey-Europe economic and business ties will weaken

Location:

TURKEY

That represented a 1.9-percentage-point (pp) rise in import share and a 0.4-pp fall in export share. Turkey's economic and commercial ties with Europe (EU and non-EU) are strong…

Prospects for Syria and Iraq in 2016

Location:

PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for Syria and Iraq in 2016.

Prospects for North Africa to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

North Africa prospects H2 2020.

Prospects for Russian foreign policy to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Russian foreign policy to end-2022.

New Cyprus president will pursue pro-Western policy

Location:

CYPRUS

Christodoulides is taking charge at a time of high political volatility. Though he is from the ruling Democratic Rally (DISY), he was not DISY's candidate, won with the support of…

Tripoli fighting has not settled Libyan politics

Location:

LIBYA

Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeiba emerged victorious from fierce fighting in Tripoli last month, which resulted in major military setbacks for the eastern forces backed by Paris…

Syria's ruler will seek to ride out economic protests

Location:

SYRIA

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

Iraqi Kurdistan may lose its 'safe haven' reputation

Location:

IRAQ

Baghdad and Erbil are currently negotiating a new budget agreement covering oil revenue and fiscal transfers, which could provide immediate relief. However, internal divisions are…

Iranian business will be sceptical of the Emirati thaw

Location:

UAE/IRAN

Economic relations between Iran and the UAE.

Turkish-Emirati easing will miss full rapprochement

Location:

TURKEY/UAE

This was the culmination of months of backchannel talks between two of the Middle East’s bitterest rivals. It is intended to help reduce bilateral tensions and facilitate further…