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Political crisis crimps urgent reform hopes in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Mounting political and economic crisis.

Prospects for Mexico in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Mexico in 2018.

Balance will be elusive in fragile Argentine economy

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ARGENTINA

The move, which has angered the farming sector, is one of several announcements aimed at boosting revenues in order to avoid austerity, and at generating enthusiasm among the…

Honduran economic growth will slow

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HONDURAS

One of the major challenges for the government in the short term will be protecting the most vulnerable sections of the population from food insecurity, amid rising prices…

Cuban discontent will be muted despite economic woes

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CUBA

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

Inflation adds to Brazil’s multiple economic woes

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BRAZIL

This is close to the ceiling of the target band of 2.25-5.25% set for this year. In response, the Central Bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate from a record low of…

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

Argentina stabilisation plan will prove challenging

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ARGENTINA

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

Cuba will struggle to keep inflation at bay

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CUBA

So far, state-sector price controls and price caps on food and private markets have prevented runaway inflation. However, producers are withholding goods or selling on the black…