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Mali’s UN force is in danger of collapse

Location:

MALI

The UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) is in danger of collapse. Various contributing countries are announcing withdrawals, including Western…

NATO will integrate Ukraine gradually

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NATO

Intensified cooperation with NATO, including arms transfers and intelligence sharing, has led to a significant upgrade of Ukraine’s military capabilities and capacity to fight…

Isolation from West will bring Russia and Iran closer

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RUSSIA/IRAN

The two countries have turned to each other amid increasing isolation from international banking systems, export markets, and foreign resources and technologies. Deepening their…

NATO accession plans would increase Baltic tensions

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FINLAND/SWEDEN

With public opinion shifting in favour, both countries are now seriously considering applying for formal membership of the alliance. Their decisions will have important…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

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MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

EU defence may focus on cooperation, not integration

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EU

The debate around European defence integration has surfaced periodically over past decades, but progress has fallen short of expectations. Brexit and the elections of Presidents…

German policy towards Sahel will be cautious

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SAHEL/GERMANY

Like France, Germany is now partnering with Niger, but it continues to avoid combat roles, helping to keep its political risks in the region fairly low. Meanwhile, Berlin does not…

More Saudi policy U-turns will worry foreign partners

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SAUDI ARABIA

Both moves reflect the determination of de facto ruler Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to assert his strength. Internally, he renewed his dominance of the ruling family, against…

Biden would face early tests of US resolve abroad

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UNITED STATES

If Trump is re-elected, his foreign policy will continue in the same vein as his first term. If Biden wins, he is likely -- as other new presidents have -- to have his foreign…

Foreign powers will use media for Balkan influence

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BALKANS

Western media have been present in the Balkans for decades through the likes of the BBC and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). Large media corporations in Russia, China…