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Prospects for Venezuela in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

There will be intense domestic and international pressure to delay National Assembly elections in order to improve conditions for a free and fair vote. A delay would strengthen…

Zimbabwean government will try to entrench its control

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ZIMBABWE

Chamisa’s call comes amid worsening political and economic crises and rising public frustration with President Emmerson Mnangagwa and the ruling ZANU-PF. Meanwhile, Mnangagwa’s…

Congressional support will assist Guatemala’s Arevalo

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GUATEMALA

A Constitutional Court ruling barring members of his Movimiento Semilla (Seed Movement, Semilla) from holding congressional leadership positions will constrain the party’s room…

Mozambican debt deal will bring only short-term gains

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MOZAMBIQUE

Mozambique debt restructuring.

Zambian constitution changes will weaken its democracy

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ZAMBIA

These contentious changes will strengthen the executive and weaken oversight from both the legislature and judiciary. Opposition to the amendments is growing from independent…

Poor governance, weak institutions will dog eastern EU

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EU

Instability in eastern EU.

Maltese ruling party may survive murder scandal

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MALTA

The investigation into the assassination of prominent journalist Daphne Caruana Galizia has taken a dramatic turn with the interrogation of senior Maltese government officials…

Zambian economic gloom likely to worsen

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ZAMBIA

Amid escalating external debt, President Edgar Lungu’s administration recently directed the liquidation of KCM, majority-owned by Vedanta, and is suspected to want to sell these…

Legislative win strengthens Congo president’s hand

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Tshisekedi’s own Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) becomes parliament’s largest party with 69 seats, while main opposition contender Moise Katumbi’s Ensemble party…

High prices mask challenges in Ecuador’s oil sector

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ECUADOR

Output remains well below peak levels seen under former President Lenin Moreno (2017-21), and indigenous and environmental concerns look set to hinder the industry's development…