Monday, February 24, 2020
Instability in eastern EU.
The EU has long reinforced Central-East European (CEE) member states with regulations and constraints. As it became absorbed in the euro-crisis and the nationalist surge, these countries felt less constrained and freer to act. Consequently, short-term or incoherent policy goals and elite-driven illiberal agendas are impeding good governance, anti-corruption efforts and further democratisation in some of CEE; none are exempt from government instability and rising nationalism.
- Instability in CEE is likely to discourage bold decisions on EU enlargement to North Macedonia and Albania.
- Economic malaise will make CEE governments less choosy regarding Chinese investments.
- An increasingly disenchanted public will be even more susceptible to internal and Russian disinformation campaigns.