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Austrian exit from Russian gas is far from assured

Location:

AUSTRIA

Russia's share of Austrian gas imports was cut sharply in the wake of the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine but has now returned to pre-war levels. Austria’s ability to accelerate…

Latvia’s new three-party coalition will probably last

Location:

LATVIA

The October 1 parliamentary election gave Krisjanis Karins, Latvia’s first prime minister to serve a full four-year term, a clear mandate to form a government. His New Unity (JV…

Cyprus and Aegean rows are cooling Greco-Turkish ties

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CYPRUS/GREECE/TURKEY

Renewed tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Polls suggest a narrower victory for France’s Macron

Location:

FRANCE

President Emmanuel Macron was re-elected in April, defeating far-right rival Marine Le Pen by 58.5% to 41.5% in the second round. Macron’s centrist alliance -- Ensemble! -- is on…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

Location:

EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

Location:

EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

Zagreb will leverage Belgrade's EU bid

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CROATIA/SERBIA

Many politicians and people who suffered in the wars of the 1990s in both countries will see the ICJ decision as a miscarriage of justice. The current tense relations between…

Far right looks strong ahead of Austrian election

Location:

AUSTRIA

Austria has been led by a coalition of the centre-right People’s Party (OVP) and Greens since 2019 but it appears this government will be unable to continue after the election…

Bulgaria’s coming elections will not produce stability

Location:

BULGARIA

Radev’s dominance in Bulgarian politics is secure at least until the end of April. Galab Donev, a close confidant of his, is slated for reappointment as interim prime minister.

Russia will remain popular in parts of eastern EU

Location:

EU

Polls show strong sympathy for Moscow in Bulgaria and in Hungary as well. Pro-Russian attitudes result in weak public buy-in for Western sanctions in all three countries and…