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Austrian exit from Russian gas is far from assured

Location:

AUSTRIA

Russia's share of Austrian gas imports was cut sharply in the wake of the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine but has now returned to pre-war levels. Austria’s ability to accelerate…

Latvia’s new three-party coalition will probably last

Location:

LATVIA

The October 1 parliamentary election gave Krisjanis Karins, Latvia’s first prime minister to serve a full four-year term, a clear mandate to form a government. His New Unity (JV…

Cyprus and Aegean rows are cooling Greco-Turkish ties

Location:

CYPRUS/GREECE/TURKEY

Renewed tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Polls suggest a narrower victory for France’s Macron

Location:

FRANCE

President Emmanuel Macron was re-elected in April, defeating far-right rival Marine Le Pen by 58.5% to 41.5% in the second round. Macron’s centrist alliance -- Ensemble! -- is on…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

Location:

EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

Location:

EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

Zagreb will leverage Belgrade's EU bid

Location:

CROATIA/SERBIA

Many politicians and people who suffered in the wars of the 1990s in both countries will see the ICJ decision as a miscarriage of justice. The current tense relations between…

Bulgaria’s coming elections will not produce stability

Location:

BULGARIA

Radev’s dominance in Bulgarian politics is secure at least until the end of April. Galab Donev, a close confidant of his, is slated for reappointment as interim prime minister.

Russia will remain popular in parts of eastern EU

Location:

EU

Polls show strong sympathy for Moscow in Bulgaria and in Hungary as well. Pro-Russian attitudes result in weak public buy-in for Western sanctions in all three countries and…

French foreign policy will focus on Europe and MENA

Location:

FRANCE

Beyond Europe, he will seek to deepen key relationships in the Middle East and North Africa, such as with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), with an overall emphasis on stability…