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Mideast countries will still value BRICS membership

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MIDDLE EAST

This is the first time since 2010 that new members have been invited to join the group, signalling growing confidence among ‘middle powers’ and their intent to establish…

Haftar’s campaign may hurt Libyan peace and oil output

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LIBYA

This comes at a time when key southern oilfields are offline after being occupied by protestors and when the UN is leading efforts to reunify the country and facilitate elections.

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Gulf states’ soft power policies will expand

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GULF STATES

Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have pursued a multipolar global soft power policy since the early 2000s in order to boost their international reputations and attract investment…

Tramadol control poses international medical risks

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INTERNATIONAL

Diversion from legitimate pharmaceutical stocks, counterfeiting, adulteration and false labelling are key problems. National and international responses emphasising stricter…

Digital authoritarianism in Africa is evolving

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AFRICA

However, the same digital technologies have provided illiberal governments with powerful means of controlling citizens and stifling dissent, making repression more pervasive and…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

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RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

Russia’s ties with Iran will grow stronger

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RUSSIA

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

Ireland’s position towards Israel could harden further

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IRELAND

While stopping short of expelling the Israeli ambassador, Prime Minister Leo Varadkar has criticised Israel’s offensive in Gaza as being disproportionate and openly declared his…