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Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

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IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

Damascus will balance between Moscow and Tehran

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SYRIA

He had kept a low profile in late January, prompting rumours of illness, or even a coup plot. The president’s absence from the limelight came at a sensitive time. Following talks…

Prospects for the Middle East in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for the Middle East in the second quarter.

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016.

Resurgent Russia pushes Nordic states towards West

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SCANDINAVIA

Outlook for Nordic-NATO defence cooperation.

Libya stabilisation force could be counterproductive

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LIBYA

This is part of UN-facilitated talks to agree on a national unity government that would end the political power struggle driving Libya's civil war. Should a Government of National…

Israel will play up Syria actions but avoid escalation

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ISRAEL

This comes amid a recent rise in Israeli military operations in Syria as part of efforts to prevent Iranian military entrenchment and supply of weapons to sympathetic groups.

Prospects for Syria to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

PROSPECTS H2 2017: Syria.

Lebanese ‘dissociation’ from Syria will stall

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LEBANON

Ties have been difficult since Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri reversed his Saudi-inspired resignation on November 4, despite his insistence that it was on the basis that all…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

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RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…