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Kenya opposition election boycott increasingly likely

Location:

KENYA

A boycott would hand power to President Uhuru Kenyatta. However, it could also undermine his government's legitimacy, placing him under pressure to delay the election and reform…

Zimbabwe's opposition faces further marginalisation

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ZIMBABWE

In practice, corruption charges are levied against dissident ZANU-PF members and especially against the main opposition Movement for Democratic Change Alliance (MDC-A), which…

Prospects for South Africa to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

The adverse conditions that drove the rand to record lows in the second quarter of 2023 will likely persist through the remainder of the year, despite 0.4% growth in the first…

Zambia’s debt deal may face a geopolitical tug of war

Location:

ZAMBIA

A deal under the G20 Common Framework for Debt Treatment was expected by end-2022. However, amid geopolitical tensions, China has been blamed for the delay by figures including US…

Rare-earth diversification may boost African producers

Location:

AFRICA

This growing demand will place African countries in an unusually strong bargaining position in negotiations over access to these commodities.

Al-Shabaab will entrench its gains in Somalia

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SOMALIA

Already on the rise, al-Shabaab now also benefits from rising distraction among its domestic and international opponents, which may prolong efforts to defeat it by many years.

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

Location:

ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Macron broadens French strategy in Africa

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FRANCE/AFRICA

French policy towards Africa.

Somalia faces long and turbulent election season

Location:

SOMALIA

However, like the Senate elections, the process has gotten off to a staggered and chaotic start. Moreover, it threatens to be far more complicated and contentious.

Prospects for South Africa in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

Yet market sentiment remains sceptical of Pretoria’s ability to deliver on the package, implement steep and politically contentious expenditure cuts and boost growth. Meanwhile, a…