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Belarus recovery will depend on external conditions

Location:

BELARUS

Chronic problems in the Belarusian economy.

China-Germany ties will be impacted by trade clashes

Location:

CHINA/GERMANY

Germany’s trade and supply-chain dependence on China, and its sizeable corporate investments in the country, are at odds with pressure from both Brussels and Washington to take a…

Belarusian economy will depend on Russian support

Location:

BELARUS

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

Baku and Tbilisi will be main threat to EU power plan

Location:

CAUCASUS

A series of Black Sea connectivity projects is a promising development for both the South Caucasus and the EU. Georgian electricity exports could play a part in reducing European…

Ukraine invasion threatens oil trade amid volatility

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Neither Moscow nor the countries which have imposed sanctions on it wish to damage energy trade, but some disruption to Russian oil product flows is likely. The oil market is…

Ukraine’s economy has yet to show signs of recovery

Location:

UKRAINE

All-out war has brought economic devastation unprecedented in both scale and depth. More than a year later, its extent is readily apparent in every major part of Ukraine’s…

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

Location:

RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Russian market is main hope for Belarus economy

Location:

BELARUS

Despite a war of words over food sourced from Belarus, Russia maintained its overall level of imports from the country last year. Belarusian exports to most of the world fell…

Russia and also Europe to suffer from EU sanctions

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

EU leaders accept that the measures will undercut EU growth and increase the risks of recession. They have less appetite than Washington for further sanctions, reflecting their…

Baltic fiscal prudence will return even with low debt

Location:

BALTIC STATES

Monthly output in Estonia started contracting from June. GDP (adjusted) stagnated in the first quarter of 2022, and contracted quarter-on-quarter in the following two quarters…