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Iran will avoid direct conflict but has other options

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IRAN

Washington has increased pressure on Tehran on a near-daily basis since it designated the IRGC as a terrorist organisation on April 8. The United States has imposed new sanctions…

US-Russian arms competition will focus on India

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US/RUSSIA

India is the world's largest arms importer and its primary suppliers are Russia and the United States. Although the two suppliers largely sell their weapons to different customers…

Iran's military set for more aggressive stance in Gulf

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IRAN

Tensions between the Gulf states and Iran have escalated significantly in 2016, in the wake of Iran's signing of a landmark deal in 2015 that brought to an end the decade-long…

Iran may prioritise cyber espionage, not attack

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IRAN

Before the US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement, many observers expected Tehran to increase its use of asymmetric capabilities, especially cyber tools, in retaliation…

‘Groupthink’ will damage Turkish foreign policy

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TURKEY

Sanctions are triggered under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA) by Turkey’s acquisition of two Russian S-400 air defence systems. Russia began…

Yemen’s Huthis will reap benefits from Israel’s strike

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YEMEN

In response, Israel launched retaliatory strikes on port and oil storage facilities in Huthi-controlled Hodeida on July 20. The failure of Israel's multilayered air defence…

Prospects for Turkey in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Turkey in 2019.

US armed UAV precedent will hinder global rules-making

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US/INT

Post-Obama armed UAV policy.

Yemeni fighting could spike ahead of Gulf drawdown

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YEMEN

This comes after a surge in fighting across multiple fronts in February and March. Conflict actors are trying to improve their positions ahead of future negotiations, in the…

Riyadh will lobby hard for removal from EU watchlist

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SAUDI ARABIA

The list includes Saudi Arabia and comes amid mounting criticism in Europe over Saudi domestic and foreign policy. It raises questions about the prospects for raising capital from…