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Hong Kong situation is mixed blessing for ASEAN region

Location:

ASEAN

Since it effectively criminalises dissent against China’s ruling Communist Party, there are growing concerns about how it might impact the city’s business environment. The loss of…

Sanctions retaliation rules add to China’s deterrence

Location:

CHINA

Crucially, they cover the China subsidiaries of multinational companies. They have taken effect immediately, but their application requires the identification of specific…

Russian aid keeps Georgian breakaway regions in line

Location:

GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Russian financial support for the Georgian breakaway provinces of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

Iran-Azerbaijan relations will improve

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IRAN/AZERBAIJAN

Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran have tended to oscillate between distrust and outright animosity. However, recent events and official statements signal that the two sides…

Ethiopia’s new cabinet embodies continuity, not change

Location:

ETHIOPIA

However, the new government appears to be continuing the polices of the last administration, not least by opening its term with a new offensive targeting Tigrayan rebels.

Saudi-Iraqi rapprochement will proceed gradually

Location:

IRAQ/SAUDI ARABIA

Last month, Saudi Arabia pledged to link Iraq up to its national grid to help address electricity shortfalls. Indeed, after years of frozen ties, Saudi Arabia has recently stepped…

US policy shift on Cuba will bring little respite

Location:

CUBA

The move comes as Cubans face a severe economic crisis and increasing hardship that is driving record outward migration. The collapse of Russian tourism and increased fuel and…

Euro-area activity will slow sharply or even contract

Location:

EU

The euro-area is highly exposed to the fallout from the Ukraine war, and higher commodity prices for a longer period will squeeze the disposable incomes of households and firms…