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Czech election result will depend on undecided voters

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CZECH REPUBLIC

A series of scandals surrounding Prime Minister Andrej Babis, including the newly released Pandora Papers, threaten to undermine ANO’s popularity. A challenge may come from the…

Inflation in Eastern Europe will slow monetary easing

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EASTERN EUROPE

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

Czech vote may raise chances of new ANO-led government

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CZECH REPUBLIC

Now that Zeman has successfully retaken the presidency with 152,000 more votes than his pro-Western rival Jiri Drahos after a campaign that was dominated by domestic issues…

Pandemic will test parliamentary scrutiny in Europe

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EUROPE

Far-reaching law-making powers have been delegated to governments throughout Europe, which have engaged in unprecedented levels of public spending; the urgency posed by the…

Politics clouds Central Europe’s short-term outlook

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Last year ended dramatically, with the European Court of Justice (ECJ) ordering the Polish government to suspend its reform of the Supreme Court, and the European Commission…

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter.

European elections expose Czech and Slovak weakness

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EU

The political impact of the European Parliament (EP) election is yet to be felt in most of Central Europe (CE), but in Poland, Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki has responded to…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

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EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

Babis’s defeat will shift Czech politics rightwards

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CZECH REPUBLIC

The country is on the threshold of great political change, voters having delivered a resounding ‘no’ to the ruling Ano ('Yes') movement and voted the Social Democrats and…