Czech election result will depend on undecided voters

Significance

A series of scandals surrounding Prime Minister Andrej Babis, including the newly released Pandora Papers, threaten to undermine ANO’s popularity. A challenge may come from the centre-right SPOLU coalition, campaigning on a strong anti-Babis programme. The key question is which way undecided voters will finally lean.

Impacts

• The Communists, who are currently teetering on the 5% electoral threshold, could eventually disappear from high-level politics.
• If ANO retains power, the government's European policy will focus on defending Babis’s interests before the EU.
• Either of the two opposition blocs would pursue a more constructive European policy if they won.
• Introduction of the euro is unlikely in the foreseeable future, as supporters of the common currency are significantly in the minority.