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Russia will rely more on China for technology

Location:

CHINA/RUSSIA

Chinese companies are risk-averse about continued exchanges, but for Beijing it is strategically imperative to bolster national capabilities vis-a-vis the United States. Both…

Biden would face early tests of US resolve abroad

Location:

UNITED STATES

If Trump is re-elected, his foreign policy will continue in the same vein as his first term. If Biden wins, he is likely -- as other new presidents have -- to have his foreign…

Iraq sees rising risk of a US-Iran clash in 2020

Location:

IRAQ

These have caused the United States to begin the process of shuttering its Baghdad embassy -- while signalling that it could reverse the process if the government moves more…

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019.

Russian opposition pauses to build energy for election

Location:

RUSSIA

As Navalny shuttles between a prison cell and a courtroom, his team is having to adapt to life without its leader and to the challenge of converting generalised dissatisfaction…

Kim has the initiative in US-North Korea relations

Location:

NORTH KOREA

This followed Pyongyang’s breach of its 17-month moratorium on missile testing with two volleys on May 4 and May 9, each personally supervised by Kim and both including…

EU-US relations may be at a turning point

Location:

EU/US

Trump first snubbed the EU on April 30 with a mere postponement of possible tariffs and then humiliated the E3 (Germany, France and the United Kingdom) on May 8 with his decision…

Prospects for North Korea in 2020

Location:

PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for North Korea in 2020.

Russia wants to avoid worse ties after US sanctions

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia's demand that Washington scale down its diplomatic mission staffing is dramatic in tone yet limited in effect. Despite the large number of posts to be cut, this retaliation…

US sanctions policy on Venezuela may backfire

Location:

VENEZUELA/US

US sanctions have been a blunt instrument, but the threat of re-escalation comes at a moment of vulnerability for Venezuela. The US intervention could have counterproductive…