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Trump is already fighting the US general election

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UNITED STATES

Despite recent questions about his eligibility, Trump appears set to secure the Republican presidential nomination by early March. With President Joe Biden’s approval rating…

Post-pandemic recovery will be protracted in Peru

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PERU

Peru’s previously buoyant economy has been badly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, contracting by around 13.38% in the first ten months of this year. Investment has been hit, as…

London may seek to slow UK-EU regulatory divergence

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UK/EU

The bill lays down that all EU-derived ‘secondary’ legislation be reviewed or revoked by the end of 2023. The bill encapsulates consecutive Conservative governments' efforts to…

Trump would face stronger headwinds in second term

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UNITED STATES

In some ways Trump has been a traditional Republican president, lowering taxes and pushing deregulation. Yet he has taken trade and foreign policy in a new direction, with mixed…

Ontario-Ottawa frictions will likely grow in Canada

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CANADA

There are some concerns about how well-developed PC policy and fiscal plans are. The left-wing New Democratic Party (NDP) is now Ontario’s official opposition and has four years…

Survival prospects for new Irish government are good

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IRELAND

He will lead a historic coalition involving his Fianna Fail (FF; centre-left) party, its historical rivals Fine Gael (FG; centre-right), and the Green Party (GP; centre-left)…

Central Asia faces COVID-19 surge and resurgence risks

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CENTRAL ASIA

Like Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan took timely action when evidence of COVID-19 emerged. Their governments' claim of effective management may prove justified but is…

Prospects for South-east Asia to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

This is helping to insulate them from immediate political pressures relating to the pandemic crisis, but their hopes for spurring long-term economic recovery depend greatly on…

US Republicans will eye 2020 ‘red wave’

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UNITED STATES

She was originally appointed in April when Thad Cochran resigned and will serve to January 2021. The win means the Republicans will have 53 Senate seats for 2019-21, a net gain of…

US move to topple Kosovo government may backfire

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US/KOSOVO

US role in fall of Kurti government.