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Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

EU integration could provide a way to sanction Hungary

Location:

HUNGARY/EU

The EU treaty’s Article 7 may be invoked in response to concerns about the state of democracy, fundamental rights and the rule of law in a member state. Yesterday's decision by…

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter

Location:

PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter.

PiS cannot count on winning Polish elections outright

Location:

POLAND

The October 13 parliamentary election will be one of the most important and consequential since 1989. If PiS wins, it will entrench and continue pushing ahead with its radical…

Czech monetary divergence is set to end

Location:

CZECH REPUBLIC

Hampl was interviewed on August 29, after the CNB announced its first rate rise in more than nine years on August 3. He said faster growth made debating further monetary policy…

Swiss franc and Greek risk may hit Polish zloty

Location:

EUROPE

While the Swiss franc has since retracted most of its unprecedented gains, Central European (CE) currencies -- peculiarly exposed to fallout from the SNB's decision by the high…

Markets are downplaying PiS election risks in Poland

Location:

POLAND

Despite PiS's costly spending pledges, its nationalist and populist views and its strong support for a controversial, Hungarian-style debt-relief scheme for holders of foreign…

Belarus's healthcare will be key political asset

Location:

BELARUS

For Belarusian citizens, access to healthcare is a constitutional right. Consequently, any attempted reforms that would involve a major shift to commercialisation will have…

Opposition weakness will help Polish ruling coalition

Location:

POLAND

At the beginning of 2021, the ZP coalition of the Law and Justice (PiS), Accord and United Poland (SP) parties is stable, but not as strong as it has been in previous years. This…

Central Europe migrant rights could hamper UK/EU deal

Location:

UK/CENTRAL EUROPE

Cameron has revealed details of his EU reform agenda, after weeks of whistle-stop tours, including meetings with all the 'Visegrad Four' (V4 -- Czech, Hungarian, Polish and…