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Middle East outlook is poised on US election outcome

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MIDDLE EAST/US

The two candidates differ on the timing, scope and scale of US regional engagement. Biden was a strong critic of the policy changes Trump introduced regarding the 2015 Iran…

Russia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war

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RUSSIA

In the wake of the war between Hamas and Israel, Russia has positioned itself as an important player in the Middle East, which can leverage its working relationships with all the…

Israel will strengthen its ties with the Gulf

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ISRAEL/GULF STATES

In October, Netanyahu travelled to Oman -- the first visit there by an Israeli premier in decades. In the past few years, relations between Israel and most of the six Gulf…

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2021.

Emirati foreign policy will draw strong criticism

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The conflict has created tensions between the UAE’s leaders and Arab public opinion. Over the longer term, the country’s assertive foreign policy has also drawn criticism from its…

Gulf states’ quarrels may damage Israel in Gaza

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GULF STATES/ISRAEL

Informal ties between Israel and some of the Gulf Arab monarchies in economic, intelligence, and security affairs are growing, encouraged by the prospect of a US-mediated…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Rivalry will shape Gulf states’ relations

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GULF STATES

The restoration of diplomatic relations ends a seven-year period of intense competition between the two countries. The deal is a diplomatic agreement and does not address the root…

Trump’s peace plan is an existential threat to Jordan

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JORDAN

Popular anger in Jordan over the settlements has increased since the publication of US President Donald Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian peace plan on January 28, which no longer…

Jordanian diplomacy will take a more independent path

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JORDAN

The territory was returned to Jordan the previous day, ending a 25-year arrangement agreed when the countries signed a 1994 peace treaty. The king declared that Jordan was…