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US WTO reform proposals will gain little traction

Location:

UNITED STATES

Tai will continue to make the Biden administration’s case that the WTO needs reform to make it fit for purpose in the 21st century. Opposition to reform will come from India and…

US allies will worry about Trump's Asia policies

Location:

UNITED STATES

Democrats and Republicans largely share the assessment that China poses the greatest challenge to US interests globally. The Biden administration retained Trump’s strong tariff…

Exit of Russian troops signals shift away from Armenia

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The visit followed Moscow’s decision to pull out its last remaining troops from Nagorno-Karabakh before the expiration of their peacekeeping mandate. This reflects the Kremlin’s…

South Africa's ANC faces difficult coalition choices

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

This forces all five major parties to negotiate choices for cooperation. Such are the perceived incompatibilities between them that the choices will be very difficult, with…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

'Total peace' in Colombia will not materialise in 2024

Location:

COLOMBIA

Another government ceasefire with the National Liberation Army (ELN) is due to expire on January 29. Bilateral ceasefires foster some stability amid efforts to negotiate with…

North Macedonia vote may delay move to free EU impasse

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NORTH MACEDONIA

Polls suggest the opposition Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organisation-Party for Macedonian National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE) will win the parliamentary elections, although the…

Afghan Taliban will look past UN in seeking engagement

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban were invited but refused to attend. There was no decision on appointing a UN special envoy for Afghanistan as mandated recently, although UN Secretary-General Antonio…

Northern Irish economic gains are not guaranteed

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Efforts to attract foreign investment to Northern Ireland have so far failed to bring about the desired results, owing to long-term issues that undermine investment, including low…

Poland’s policy on farm protests may shift after polls

Location:

POLAND

The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…