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Biden's foreign policy goals face pressure at home

Location:

UNITED STATES

Zelensky failed to convince Congress to unlock USD61bn of stalled assistance to Ukraine. As the presidential election looms, President Joe Biden will need to draw on significant…

Taipei will struggle with cross-Strait policy

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TAIWAN

Lai’s victory showed the electorate’s approval of outgoing president Tsai Ing-wen, who avoided armed conflict with China while boosting ties with Washington and its allies. Lai’s…

Taiwan’s new president will be tested

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TAIWAN

The election was a major milestone for the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which won a third presidential term, a first for a Taiwanese party since direct elections…

Outlook is mixed for Indonesian economy

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INDONESIA

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

US allies will worry about Trump's Asia policies

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UNITED STATES

Democrats and Republicans largely share the assessment that China poses the greatest challenge to US interests globally. The Biden administration retained Trump’s strong tariff…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

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VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

Canada faces a likelihood of increased Arctic activity

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CANADA

The extent to which climatic conditions are opening the Arctic to shipping is illustrated by the prospect of Russian tankers that are not designed for Arctic conditions using the…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

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CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Japan will raise defence spending and cut deficits

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JAPAN

The budget is likely to be enacted by the end of the current fiscal year in March 2024. Rapidly increasing military spending reflects drastic changes in Tokyo’s defence policy. On…

Partnerships between AI firms and militaries will grow

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INT

However, recent trends and developments in the AI industry also point towards these same tools’ potential to serve valuable defence purposes, including threat detection, enhanced…