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Algeria’s budget will drive up public debt

Location:

ALGERIA

The budget is geared towards boosting living standards ahead of the presidential elections towards the end of the year, in which President Abdelmadjid Tebboune will most likely…

Yemen’s anti-Huthi front is unlikely to regain force

Location:

YEMEN

The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…

Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

Location:

ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Algiers will be wary of dynamics in the south

Location:

ALGERIA

The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…

Saudi Arabia’s spending strains banks’ balance sheets

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

Previously in April, Saudi banks put together a SAR10bn (USD2.7bn) revolving credit facility for NEOM, the largest of a cluster of ‘giga-projects’ backed by the PIF. This…

Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

Location:

MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

Location:

IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:

RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Ecuador’s security crisis will deepen

Location:

ECUADOR

The army now has a central role in combating crime groups, 22 of which have been categorised as terrorist organisations. The move has been widely welcomed, but militarisation…