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Armenia will avoid severing ties with Russia

Location:

ARMENIA

Relations with Moscow have become even more strained since the September 2023 fall of Nagorno-Karabakh, compounding the shock caused by Russia failing to protect Armenia from…

Switzerland will be slow to harden its China position

Location:

SWITZERLAND/CHINA

Among the priorities in the declaration is updating the Swiss-Chinese free trade agreement (FTA) and simplifying travel procedures between the two countries. Switzerland’s…

Georgia will keep exporting sanctioned cars

Location:

GEORGIA

The ban was implemented in response to EU and US pressure, as Georgia was a pivotal player in blunting the intended impact of sanctions. However, Georgian re-export of cars remain…

Washington seeks dialogue to limit damage to ties

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Washington is attempting to limit a further deterioration in relations ahead of its November elections, while simultaneously stiffening tariffs on China amid an expanding…

Bulgaria’s crisis will deepen after elections

Location:

BULGARIA

Opinion polls suggest another inconclusive parliamentary election outcome, although the right-wing Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) is projected to win the…

Tough economic challenges await Taiwan president-elect

Location:

TAIWAN

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…

Dinar ban will damage EU-led Kosovo-Serbia dialogue

Location:

KOSOVO

A Central Bank regulation reaffirming the euro as sole legal tender has alarmed Kosovo’s Serbs who see it as a direct threat to their existence and is jeopardising already complex…

Abductions will impede Tokyo-Pyongyang ties

Location:

NORTH KOREA/JAPAN

Any such rapprochement would be two-edged: suggesting a less acerbic Pyongyang, but also altering delicate alliance dynamics. Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida reportedly did…

Chinese trade diversion will shape Asian commerce

Location:

CHINA

US efforts to friend-shore and ‘de-risk’ supply chains have forced China to reroute trade flows, with India and Vietnam emerging as key low-cost manufacturing hubs. Meanwhile…

Nicaragua mining expansion will have serious impacts

Location:

NICARAGUA

The amount of land granted for mining has now surpassed 2 million hectares, having doubled between 2021 and 2023 to around 1.8 million. This rapid expansion in mining activity…