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Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

North Macedonia will clash with EU and neighbours

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NORTH MACEDONIA

The right-wing Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organisation-Democratic Party for Macedonian National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE) topped the presidential and parliamentary polls, having…

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

A tame private sector helps Algeria’s president

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ALGERIA

The authorities seek to maintain tight control over the private sector to minimise risk of state capture by businesses. In parallel, Tebboune has also built close ties with Le…

Greek ruling party could suffer losses in EU elections

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GREECE

The vote comes a year after the centre-right New Democracy (ND) party of Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis was comfortably re-elected in the country’s parliamentary polls…

Germany’s CDU will shift further to the right

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GERMANY

After months of internal division, the CDU’s senior figures united behind leader Friedrich Merz, elected a new executive and adopted a new programme that marks a reversion to…

Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

Macron faces political risks over French fiscal woes

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FRANCE

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

Pressure on Japan’s prime minister will mount

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JAPAN

This hurts Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s credibility within the LDP and the wider nation. A change of government following the next general election would be the first in over…

Reform UK could impact next election outcome

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UNITED KINGDOM

As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…