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The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

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CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Russian energy influence in Moldova will decline

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MOLDOVA

The decision to make Vestmodtransgaz the transmission system operator (TSO) will facilitate the overhaul of national gas utility MoldovaGaz. It will also deprive Russia of…

Russia's budget revenue forecast may prove optimistic

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RUSSIA

The Ministry of Finance is seeking new ways to boost federal revenues to fund rising military expenditure, as well as any pledges made during the forthcoming presidential election…

Egypt’s Israeli ties will persist despite war

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EGYPT

It hosted an international conference on October 21 to promote diplomatic efforts to that end, and as the humanitarian crisis deepened, officials have ratcheted up their rhetoric…

CIS economic group will help Russia weather sanctions

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CIS

Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed the opening ceremony by video link, hailing the “irresistible” trend towards multipolarity and economic globalisation. The forum discussed…

War in Ukraine will impel Kazakhstan to diversify

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KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

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VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

Yemen's oil and gas revival hopes will be dashed

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YEMEN

Reports suggest progress on several issues, including the mechanism for paying civil servants’ salaries. The possibility that the war will wind down opens the question of whether…