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Russia’s ties with Iran will grow stronger

Location:

RUSSIA

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

Morocco will press on with its outreach to the Sahel

Location:

MOROCCO

During that meeting, discussions focused on a Moroccan proposal to grant these landlocked countries access to the Atlantic Ocean. The proposal hints at a transactional…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

Riyadh will seek foreign policy balance for now

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SAUDI ARABIA

Riyadh has prioritised the pursuit of regional de-escalation, largely to boost its economic prospects as the kingdom pursues foreign investments to support diversification away…

Mediation by the Gulf states will increase

Location:

GULF STATES

Qatar, Oman and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), have mediated numerous disputes in the last 20 years. Oman's activity is a reflection of its largely non-aligned foreign policy;…

Expropriation risks for foreigners in Russia will rise

Location:

RUSSIA

Operating restrictions on Western firms since 2022 have expanded into expropriation risks over the last year. This month Putin signed a decree to authorise the seizure of US…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

Location:

ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…

Gaza war will test Saudi-Iranian rapprochement

Location:

IRAN/SAUDI ARABIA

The call was the first between the leaders since Tehran and Riyadh restored diplomatic relations in March 2023. As well signalling a positive step in building relations, it was…

Egypt’s Israeli ties will persist despite war

Location:

EGYPT

It hosted an international conference on October 21 to promote diplomatic efforts to that end, and as the humanitarian crisis deepened, officials have ratcheted up their rhetoric…