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Bosnian Serbs are unlikely to seek independence yet

Location:

BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA

The move followed changes to the Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) election law, aimed at enhancing electoral transparency, imposed by High Representative Christian Schmidt. RS President…

New Romanian cabinet's economic agenda may falter

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ROMANIA

The cabinet reshuffle is part of the coalition deal between Ciuca’s National Liberal Party (PNL), Ciolacu’s Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the Democratic Alliance of Hungarians…

Ethiopia's Amhara-Tigray talks may build confidence

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ETHIOPIA

The visit represents a milestone for the two regions, which have been divided by longstanding tensions that fuelled the two-year civil war in northern Ethiopia. The visit was…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict is likely to persist

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ETHIOPIA

There are growing calls for the parties to negotiate a peaceful resolution to the conflict, but little sign that any such process is imminent.

Iraqi Kurdish election divisions will erode autonomy

Location:

IRAQ

Tensions have risen over the past year between the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), due to disagreements over the electoral law…

North Macedonia will clash with EU and neighbours

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NORTH MACEDONIA

The right-wing Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organisation-Democratic Party for Macedonian National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE) topped the presidential and parliamentary polls, having…

Amhara unrest may be an inflection point for Ethiopia

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ETHIOPIA

The government has deployed the army and claims to have restored control in most major cities. However, the fighting has shaken confidence in Ethiopia’s stability.

Conflict may intensify after failed Ethiopia-OLA talks

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ETHIOPIA

This was the second attempt at resolving the intractable conflict in Oromia that has killed thousands and displaced millions. Moreover, hopes of a resolution this time had been…

Dillo death may increase government fragility in Chad

Location:

CHAD

The building was heavily damaged and its leader, Yaya Dillo Djerou, was killed. Dillo was a former rebel commander and relative of President Mahamat Idriss Deby Itno, as well as…