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Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

EU threatens Slovakia with rule-of-law sanctions

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EASTERN EUROPE

The EU has warned Slovakia that it could face fines or blocked EU funds over concerns that the government’s judicial reforms, particularly those protecting politicians from…

Crime will aggravate South Africa’s growth crisis

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SOUTH AFRICA

South Africa’s crime rates have long been among the world’s highest. Much of this constitutes interpersonal violence, where the victim and perpetrator know each other. However…

Arevalo will steer gradual improvements in Guatemala

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GUATEMALA

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

Latin American democracy will face greater scepticism

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LATIN AMERICA

Belief in democracy as a system has held up as against authoritarian alternatives. The ‘satisfaction’ criterion, however, varies strongly across countries.

Arevalo would pursue political change in Guatemala

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GUATEMALA

Torres (a well-known, broadly status-quo candidate, and former first lady) will face the largely untested Bernardo Arevalo, who surprised pollsters by coming second, on a…